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Latest MLB NewsMLB: Hot betting system backs hot-hitting Sox
The White Sox are white hot when playing in Chicago, no doubt about it. They have been almost unbeatable at home over the last couple of months, winning 16 of their last 17 games at US Cellular Field. On Wednesday, they’ll look to continue that surge when they play the third of a 4-game series versus the Mariners. Chicago is a -155 favorite according to Sportsbook.com at last check, and based upon a powerful StatFox betting system, should be listed at a much higher price. Let’s take a look at the game and the system.
No team has been better the last seven weeks than the White Sox (55-44), who are a major league-best 31-11 since June 9. They have gone from 9 1/2 games out of first place in the AL Central to a one-game lead on Minnesota.
Almost all of those 11 losses have come on the road, as Chicago has won nine straight and 16 of its last 17 at home.
Their dominance over the Seattle Mariners at U.S. Cellular Field extends back much further than that. In fact, with Tuesday’s 11-0 victory, Chicago improved to 25-7 at U.S. Cellular Field against Seattle (39-62) since 2004.
The last-place Mariners have lost 18 of their last 24 games.
Red hot Mark Buehrle (9-8, 3.96 ERA) will try to pitch the White Sox to their first 10-game home win streak since April 15-May 4, 2006. The Chicago ace started slowly this season, losing five straight decisions at one point, but has rebounded to go 6-2 with a 2.20 ERA in his last eight starts.
Buehrle is 6-0 with a 3.34 ERA in eight home starts versus Seattle.
Jason Vargas (6-5, 2.94) looks to continue his consistent pitching for the Mariners. He ranks among the top 10 in the AL in ERA and has produced quality starts in eight of his last 10 outings.
Tonight’s top betting angle comes straight from the FoxSheets Power Searches on a query titled “Current Season Situations With the Highest Winning Percentages”. It reads as follows:
Play On - Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (CHI WHITE SOX) - hot hitting team - batting .290 or better over their last 20 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts. (64-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (78%, +40.2 units. Rating = 4*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -131.9
The average score in these games was: Team 5.7, Opponent 3.3 (Average run differential = +2.4)
The situation's record this season is: (8-0, +8 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (31-9, +18.9 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (199-108, +43.3 units).
As you can see, this system is almost as hot in 2010 as the White Sox are at home. Chicago will put its own 9-game home winning streak on the line and look to give our feature system a 9-0 start when it goes head-to-head with Seattle starting at 8:10 PM ET.
MLB: Yankees open home slate as nearly 2-to-1 favorite
On Tuesday, the 2009 World Series Championship will be celebrated by the New York Yankees to the 2010 home opener against the Los Programa Descuentos Deportivos Angeles Angels, the team the Yankees defeated in the AL championship series. Heavy betting action on the hosts has seen the opening line at Sportsbook.com move 40-points to its current price of -195.
New York went on to beat defending champion Philadelphia in only the second World Series that spilled into November.
While four vets,Derek Jeter, Mariano Rivera, Jorge Posada and Andy Pettitte will be filling out a five of a kind more glittery than any in Las Vegas, Alex Rodriguez will be fitting his first finger for a ring, the culmination of a notorious but previously unfulfilled big league career that began with Seattle in 1994.
“I think he’ll have that feeling that he’s walking on air,” Yankees manager Joe Girardi said. “I’m really going to enjoy that smile on his face.” A-Rod and his pinstriped teammates are 4-2 to begin what they hope is another championship season and they are 21-5 after six or more road games.
Hideki Matsui, whose six RBIs finished the Phillies in Game 6, will be on hand at the second-year stadium—with the Angels, the team he signed with after the Yankees decided he was too old and too injury prone. Girardi said Matsui will look “funny to us in red.” Matsui has been the only Los Angeles batter to be productive and his new team is 37-16 in day games.
As the title returns to the Bronx for the first time since the flag was raised after the 2000 World Series championship, much is different. Across 161st Street, where old Yankee Stadium stood shrouded in dark screen last fall that resembled a funeral cloak, the old field of dreams mostly has been reduced to rubble. Only the right-field stands remain erect and awaiting demolition, overlooking the land where the first 26 titles were celebrated going back to 1923.
Players and coaches noticed when they arrived from Florida on Sunday night. Girardi said he was shocked. Now he wonders if the new ballpark will still be the launching pad that produced a major league-leading 237 home runs, 22 more than the most hit at the old stadium.
“I thought I knew what to expect until I looked next door and saw there wasn’t much of stadium there,” he said. “And now I don’t know what to expect. I don’t know if that’s going to change anything. I guess we’ll find out soon enough.”
Facing the division rivals, the New York offense looks every bit as dangerous as last year’s scoring six runs per game with an on-base percentage of .365. As per usual the Yankees have made the plays in the field and are 36-9 after three straight games where they committed no errors.
Pettitte is the starting pitcher for New York club that opened as -155 money line favorite and has been bet up to -195 with total of 10 at Sportsbook.com. In the last 12 years the lefty is 37-8 as a home favorite of -175 to -200. (Team's Record) Don’t expect a high scoring game either, since the Pettitte and the Yanks are 11-0 UNDER in April games over the last three years.
The Los Angeles offense has been stammering at 3.4 runs an outing and the bullpen has been horrific with 5.48 ERA, which includes two blown saves and allowing runs the starting pitchers left on base. The Angles will be severely test to improve on 39-22 record against left-handed starters and 11-6 mark as +150 or higher underdogs.
Ervin Santana is 5-2 in his career against New York, but hasn’t exactly fooled their hitters with 5.21 ERA and is 13-3 OVER on the road when the total is 10 or higher. (Angels Record)
First pitch is scheduled for 1:05 Eastern on the YES Network for some very satisfied (at least for today) home fans.
The StatFox Power Line shows Yankees -145, indicating a major overpricing by oddsmakers.